1
100%+92.3%
Vol 2.6MPriced In
Prediction-market movers and the news moving them, ranked.
Movers — up89
2
100%+74.5%
Vol 565K3
100%+71.5%
Vol 1.9M4
100%+71.5%
Vol 1.1M5
100%+65.5%
Vol 1.4M6
100%+57.5%
Vol 1.6M7
100%+53.4%
Vol 153K8
100%+50.5%
Vol 203K9
100%+49.5%
Vol 280K10
100%+49.5%
Vol 257K11
100%+44.5%
Vol 214K12
100%+38.5%
Vol 531K13
100%+35.6%
Vol 100K14
100%+34.1%
Vol 377K15
96%+33.8%
Vol 46216
100%+32.5%
Vol 595K17
100%+32.5%
Vol 512K18
92%+30.5%
Vol 162K19
100%+30.5%
Vol 806K20
52%+22.0%
Vol 345K21
100%+21.5%
Vol 651K22
57%+20.0%
Vol 436K23
47%+18.1%
Vol 024
100%+18.0%
Vol 99K25
87%+11.5%
Vol 939K26
51%+10.0%
Vol 157K27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- ↳ “Brent oil jumps 2% to hold above $92 as Rubio says Iran 'not serious' about peace talks” — cnbc.com · 2d ago (0.84)
- ↳ “U.S. strikes Iran and Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia shipping as mediators push 10-day ceasefire” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.76)
64%+8.0%
gap 0.01Vol 682K28
58%+8.0%
Vol 2329
98%+6.7%
Vol 316K30
96%+6.0%
Vol 16231
56%+5.6%
Vol 032
11%+5.2%
Vol 179K33
55%+5.1%
Vol 034
12%+5.0%
Vol 558K35
46%+4.0%
Vol 740K36
22%+3.5%
Vol 3K37
31%+3.0%
Vol 256K38
77%+2.4%
Vol 26.7M39
48%+2.2%
Vol 040
33%+2.0%
Vol 2.4M41
53%+2.0%
Vol 180K42
14%+2.0%
Vol 738K43
67%+1.5%
Vol 8K44
86%+1.5%
Vol 168K45
84%+1.5%
Vol 103K46
59%+1.4%
Vol 1947
46%+1.0%
Vol 7K48
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 7h ago (0.78)
- ↳ “Tehran's Hormuz threat risks global fallout, Rubio warns as U.S. strikes Iran for 11th straight night” — cnbc.com · 2d ago (0.76)
- ↳ “U.S. strikes Iran and Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia shipping as mediators push 10-day ceasefire” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.82)
37%+1.0%
gap 0.16Vol 1.6M49
52%+1.0%
Vol 2K50
45%+1.0%
Vol 167K51
41%+1.0%
Vol 22K52
31%+1.6%
Vol 12.4M53
16%+0.7%
Vol 12.3M54
95%+1.2%
Vol 671K55
28%+0.5%
Vol 15K56
18%+0.5%
Vol 9K57
20%+0.5%
Vol 6K58
33%+0.5%
Vol 5K59
23%+0.5%
Vol 2K60
10%+0.5%
Vol 2K61
66%+1.0%
Vol 266K62
17%+0.5%
Vol 5K63
3%+0.5%
Vol 637K64
50%+0.4%
Vol 49465
52%+0.4%
Vol 1866
58%+0.8%
Vol 212K67
100%+0.4%
Vol 264K68
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24?
- ↳ “Bitcoin settles near $65,000 as oil's march toward $100 fails to spook the market” — coindesk.com · 4h ago (0.98)
100%+0.4%
gap 0.19Vol 275K69
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin settles near $65,000 as oil's march toward $100 fails to spook the market” — coindesk.com · 4h ago (0.95)
3%+0.3%
gap 0.19Vol 803K70
4%+0.2%
Vol 19K71
72%+0.2%
Vol 5.0M72
4%+0.2%
Vol 1.4M73
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
3%+0.2%
gap 0.07Vol 387K74
1%+0.2%
Vol 655K75
3%+0.2%
Vol 10K76
12%+0.2%
Vol 8.4M77
8%+0.2%
Vol 16K78
3%+0.2%
Vol 6K79
9%+0.2%
Vol 2K80
1%+0.1%
Vol 8K81
42%+0.3%
Vol 81K82
1%+0.1%
Vol 545K83
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin settles near $65,000 as oil's march toward $100 fails to spook the market” — coindesk.com · 4h ago (0.98)
- ↳ “Bitcoin treasury companies sell up, repay debt, pivot to AI as share prices collapse” — coindesk.com · 5h ago (0.74)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 11h ago (0.93)
0%+0.1%
gap 0.19Vol 2.0M84
1%+0.1%
Vol 43.8M85
7%+0.2%
Vol 2.9M86
6%+0.1%
Vol 2K87
0%+0.1%
Vol 26.7M88
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
- ↳ “Brent oil jumps 2% to hold above $92 as Rubio says Iran 'not serious' about peace talks” — cnbc.com · 2d ago (0.86)
- ↳ “U.S. strikes Iran and Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia shipping as mediators push 10-day ceasefire” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.82)
100%0.0%
gap 0.01Vol 886K89
14%0.0%
Vol 327KMovers — down133
1
0%−81.5%
Vol 1.1M2
0%−74.5%
Vol 284K3
0%−72.3%
Vol 254K4
0%−71.5%
Vol 724K5
0%−63.5%
Vol 827K6
0%−61.5%
Vol 762K7
0%−61.5%
Vol 149K8
0%−58.5%
Vol 2.2M9
0%−56.5%
Vol 540K10
0%−54.0%
Vol 161K11
0%−52.5%
Vol 449K12
0%−51.0%
Vol 173K13
0%−50.5%
Vol 275K14
0%−46.5%
Vol 380K15
30%−43.5%
Vol 164K16
0%−42.4%
Vol 5.1M17
0%−39.5%
Vol 104K18
0%−37.5%
Vol 362K19
0%−36.4%
Vol 1.0M20
20%−30.0%
Vol 373K21
0%−28.9%
Vol 139K22
2%−28.5%
Vol 023
42%−27.0%
Vol 201K24
0%−26.5%
Vol 1.4M25
40%−26.3%
Vol 1.6M26
24%−26.2%
Vol 7527
0%−25.8%
Vol 3.9M28
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin wilts as oil and rates rise. Clarity Act odds tumble to 38%” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.84)
- ↳ “Bitcoin Is Bouncing: Here’s the Bull and Bear Case for Its Next Move” — decrypt.co · 2d ago (0.74)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $66,300 as chips extend their rally and the yen hits a 40-year low” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.97)
26%−23.5%
gap 0.00Vol 2.0M29
2%−23.5%
Vol 330
0%−19.1%
Vol 194K31
0%−18.4%
Vol 314K32
0%−17.8%
Vol 4.6M33
0%−16.9%
Vol 411K34
0%−15.4%
Vol 324K35
0%−14.4%
Vol 317K36
0%−14.4%
Vol 2.1M37
23%−13.2%
Vol 919K38
26%−11.5%
Vol 2.3M39
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin hits a two-week high near $65,500 as the chip trade turns back into a tailwind” — coindesk.com · 3d ago (0.84)
- ↳ “Bitcoin flat near $64,000 as oil hits a one-month high and Kimi AI selloff lingers” — coindesk.com · 4d ago (0.87)
17%−11.0%
gap 0.00Vol 604K40
7%−8.1%
Vol 613K41
0%−8.0%
Vol 116K42
9%−7.5%
Vol 37K43
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin settles near $65,000 as oil's march toward $100 fails to spook the market” — coindesk.com · 4h ago (0.90)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 11h ago (0.91)
- ↳ “Live markets: Bitcoin trades above $65,000 as Alphabet's bigger AI bill props up the chip trade” — coindesk.com · 1d ago (0.96)
8%−7.3%
gap 0.16Vol 1.5M44
53%−6.5%
Vol 11K45
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 7h ago (0.78)
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
3%−6.3%
gap 0.13Vol 353K46
34%−5.6%
Vol 98K47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
- ↳ “Galaxy cuts Clarity Act passage odds to 30%, says bill needs last-ditch effort” — theblock.co · 15m ago (0.99)
- ↳ “Clarity Act expected to miss its window before Congress' summer break, leadership says” — coindesk.com · 19h ago (0.98)
- ↳ “Goldman Sachs CEO backs Clarity Act despite banking industry's concerns over stablecoin rules” — coindesk.com · 1d ago (0.88)
33%−4.5%
gap 0.22Vol 2.6M48
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
4%−4.5%
gap 0.06Vol 641K49
18%−4.4%
Vol 17450
12%−4.1%
Vol 491K51
0%−3.8%
Vol 1.7M52
50%−3.5%
Vol 7.2M53
90%−3.5%
Vol 224K54
89%−3.5%
Vol 367K55
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin wilts as oil and rates rise. Clarity Act odds tumble to 38%” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.86)
- ↳ “Bitcoin Is Bouncing: Here’s the Bull and Bear Case for Its Next Move” — decrypt.co · 2d ago (0.72)
- ↳ “Bitcoin retreats from one-month high as oil tops $85, inflation concerns resurface” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.82)
2%−2.3%
gap 0.02Vol 1.1M56
3%−2.0%
Vol 322K57
50%−2.0%
Vol 23K58
72%−2.0%
Vol 4.6M59
35%−1.7%
Vol 88K60
23%−1.6%
Vol 18.2M61
15%−1.5%
Vol 614K62
0%−1.5%
Vol 423K63
22%−1.5%
Vol 13K64
21%−1.3%
Vol 60K65
2%−1.2%
Vol 520K66
22%−1.1%
Vol 74K67
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 7h ago (0.88)
- ↳ “Pentagon lowers official Iran war death toll, omitting four killed this month” — cnbc.com · 9h ago (0.77)
- ↳ “Congress splits on war powers resolutions to force Trump to abandon Iran war” — cnbc.com · 22h ago (0.96)
30%−1.0%
gap 0.16Vol 46.7M68
14%−1.0%
Vol 617K69
10%−1.0%
Vol 23.0M70
17%−1.0%
Vol 1.4M71
47%−1.0%
Vol 109K72
48%−0.9%
Vol 073
Iran leadership change by July 31?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 7h ago (0.79)
4%−0.9%
gap 0.16Vol 850K74
49%−0.8%
Vol 075
63%−1.0%
Vol 133K76
35%−0.5%
Vol 10K77
35%−0.5%
Vol 10K78
29%−0.5%
Vol 6K79
17%−0.5%
Vol 2K80
52%−0.5%
Vol 68K81
64%−0.5%
Vol 446K82
0%−0.5%
Vol 1.9M83
0%−0.5%
Vol 1.5M84
0%−0.5%
Vol 1.7M85
4%−0.5%
Vol 1.1M86
8%−0.5%
Vol 3K87
15%−0.5%
Vol 18K88
66%−0.5%
Vol 11K89
0%−0.5%
Vol 102K90
21%−0.9%
Vol 553K91
43%−0.8%
Vol 2.0M92
0%−0.4%
Vol 1.8M93
1%−0.4%
Vol 551K94
10%−0.4%
Vol 2.4M95
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
3%−0.4%
gap 0.08Vol 941K96
15%−0.4%
Vol 11K97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 24?
- ↳ “Bitcoin settles near $65,000 as oil's march toward $100 fails to spook the market” — coindesk.com · 4h ago (0.98)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 11h ago (0.97)
0%−0.4%
gap 0.19Vol 172K98
51%−0.3%
Vol 099
0%−0.3%
Vol 1.7M100
0%−0.3%
Vol 2.7M101
0%−0.3%
Vol 116K102
0%−0.3%
Vol 1.5M103
55%−0.5%
Vol 89K104
3%−0.2%
Vol 4.4M105
59%−0.2%
Vol 23106
0%−0.2%
Vol 261K107
47%−0.2%
Vol 18108
35%−0.3%
Vol 269K109
52%−0.1%
Vol 0110
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- ↳ “Ships shun Strait of Hormuz as renewed fighting strains key oil corridor” — cnbc.com · 4d ago (0.98)
- ↳ “Oil tankers face 'worst case scenario' in Hormuz as Iran steps up attacks on ships, maritime risk CEO says” — cnbc.com · 7d ago (0.98)
1%−0.1%
gap 0.00Vol 20.3M111
1%−0.1%
Vol 357K112
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 11h ago (0.98)
0%−0.1%
gap 0.13Vol 182K113
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin wilts as oil and rates rise. Clarity Act odds tumble to 38%” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.86)
- ↳ “Bitcoin retreats from one-month high as oil tops $85, inflation concerns resurface” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.88)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $66,300 as chips extend their rally and the yen hits a 40-year low” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.90)
0%−0.1%
gap 0.03Vol 819K114
55%−0.2%
Vol 113K115
66%−0.1%
Vol 662K116
25%−0.1%
Vol 4.7M117
4%−0.1%
Vol 6K118
0%−0.1%
Vol 2.2M119
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- ↳ “Alphabet is falling on a big spending forecast increase. What analysts are saying” — cnbc.com · 1d ago (0.93)
- ↳ “Tesla and Alphabet shares slump in premarket trading as AI spending concerns spook investors” — cnbc.com · 1d ago (0.96)
- ↳ “Why we're sticking with Alphabet despite an imperfect quarter and more AI spending” — Why we're sticking with Alphabet despite an imperfect quarter and more AI spending · 2d ago (0.78)
0%−0.1%
gap 0.08Vol 751K120
56%0.0%
Vol 7K121
62%0.0%
Vol 2K122
56%0.0%
Vol 8K123
7%−0.1%
Vol 1.3M124
61%−0.1%
Vol 73K125
46%0.0%
Vol 17.4M126
8%0.0%
Vol 1.0M127
19%0.0%
Vol 605K128
96%0.0%
Vol 10.4M129
18%0.0%
Vol 599K130
10%0.0%
Vol 12K131
3%0.0%
Vol 1.7M132
48%0.0%
Vol 888K133
7%0.0%
Vol 4K